Question 1

What are the current odds for "US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?"?

Accepted Answer

The current market price is 46% Yes / 54% No on Polymarket. This price reflects the aggregate view of traders on the platform and is updated every 5 minutes.

Question 2

Where can I trade on "US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?"?

Accepted Answer

This market is available on Polymarket. You can view it directly on the platform or compare odds across multiple prediction markets on our Live Odds page.

Question 3

How do prediction market odds work?

Accepted Answer

Prediction market prices represent the crowd's estimated probability of an event occurring. A price of 70 cents means traders collectively believe there is a 70% chance the event will happen. You can buy YES (betting it will happen) or NO (betting it won't). If you're correct, each contract pays out $1.00.

Time	Yes	No	Change
Jul 21, 2:20 AM	45.5¢	54.5¢	—
Jul 21, 2:15 AM	45.5¢	54.5¢	—
Jul 21, 2:10 AM	45.5¢	54.5¢	—
Jul 21, 2:10 AM	45.5¢	54.5¢	—
Jul 21, 2:05 AM	45.5¢	54.5¢	—
Jul 21, 2:00 AM	45.5¢	54.5¢	—
Jul 21, 1:55 AM	45.5¢	54.5¢	—
Jul 21, 1:50 AM	45.5¢	54.5¢	—
Jul 21, 1:45 AM	45.5¢	54.5¢	—
Jul 21, 1:40 AM	45.5¢	54.5¢	—
Jul 21, 1:35 AM	45.5¢	54.5¢	—
Jul 21, 1:30 AM	45.5¢	54.5¢	—

US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?

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