Will Trump finish his second term?
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?
By 2028, will there be a visible break in trend line on US GDP, GDP per capita, unemployment, or productivity, which most economists attribute directly to the effects of AI?
The top economics prediction markets by volume are listed on this page, updated every 5 minutes from Kalshi, Polymarket, Manifold, and other platforms. Filter by platform or sort by volume to find the most liquid markets.
Kalshi and Polymarket typically have the largest selection of economics markets by volume. Manifold Markets has the broadest variety. Compare our full platform reviews to pick the best one for your needs.
Prediction market prices represent the crowd's estimated probability. A Yes price of 70¢ means traders collectively believe there is a ~70% chance the event occurs. Each contract pays out $1.00 if correct.
