Will Eliezer Yudkowsky win his $150,000 - $1,000 bet about UFOs not having a worldview-shattering origin?
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
Did COVID-19 come from a laboratory?
Will Iran's regime fall in 2026?
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027?
Will there be no next German Chancellor before 2028?
The top other prediction markets by volume are listed on this page, updated every 5 minutes from Kalshi, Polymarket, Manifold, and other platforms. Filter by platform or sort by volume to find the most liquid markets.
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Prediction market prices represent the crowd's estimated probability. A Yes price of 70¢ means traders collectively believe there is a ~70% chance the event occurs. Each contract pays out $1.00 if correct.