In early 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt?
Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2030?
China's rebar failure rate below 20% in 2025 national quality check?
Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2100
Will Elon Musk become a trillionaire before July 2026?
The top technology prediction markets by volume are listed on this page, updated every 5 minutes from Kalshi, Polymarket, Manifold, and other platforms. Filter by platform or sort by volume to find the most liquid markets.
Kalshi and Polymarket typically have the largest selection of technology markets by volume. Manifold Markets has the broadest variety. Compare our full platform reviews to pick the best one for your needs.
Prediction market prices represent the crowd's estimated probability. A Yes price of 70¢ means traders collectively believe there is a ~70% chance the event occurs. Each contract pays out $1.00 if correct.